![Harari, Yuval Noah POPULAR SCIENCE Yuval Noah Harari: Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind [2015] paperback](http://chaptersbookstore.com/cdn/shop/files/harari-yuval-noah-yuval-noah-harari-sapiens-a-brief-history-of-humankind-2015-paperback-57470270013779_{width}x.jpg?v=1726388771)
![Harari, Yuval Noah POPULAR SCIENCE New Yuval Noah Harari: Nexus [2024] paperback](http://chaptersbookstore.com/cdn/shop/files/harari-yuval-noah-yuval-noah-harari-nexus-2024-paperback-9781911717096-57262276018515_{width}x.jpg?v=1727358480)
![Nestor, James POPULAR SCIENCE James Nestor: BREATH [2021] paperback](http://chaptersbookstore.com/cdn/shop/files/nestor-james-james-nestor-breath-2021-paperback-58769160995155_{width}x.jpg?v=1727207045)
![Conway, Ed POPULAR SCIENCE New Ed Conway: Material World [2023] paperback](http://chaptersbookstore.com/cdn/shop/files/conway-ed-ed-conway-material-world-2023-paperback-9780753559161-57320977924435_{width}x.jpg?v=1727445195)
'Yates' writing is a beacon of clarity sorely needed in a complicated and confusing world... I'll be quoting from this book' Jim Al-Khalili
Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?
* How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?
* Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?
* How do you prevent a nuclear war?
Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?).
For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.
How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.
- Publisher Name:Quercus Publishing
- Product Format:Paperback
- ISBN: 9781529408683
- Author:Yates, Kit
- Publication Date:2023-07-06
If you are not satisfied with your order in any way, get in touch. We have an excellent customer service record and we will do our best to ensure you are pleased with your purchase.
We are happy to refund a product if it is defective, within 30 days of purchase upon the return of your product. If you return a product to us and request a refund due to an error on our part we will be happy to pay for the postage cost to return it to us.
To be eligible for a return, your item must be in the same condition that you received it, unworn or unused & unread, and in its original packaging. You’ll also need the receipt or proof of purchase.
Please note, if you are requesting a refund based on an issue with condition we kindly ask you to provide a photo in order for us to best advise a suitable resolution.
To start a return, you can contact us at shop@chaptersbookstore.com. If your return is accepted, we’ll send you a return shipping label, as well as instructions on how and where to send your package. Items sent back to us without first requesting a return will not be accepted.
You can always contact us for any return question at shop@chaptersbookstore.com.
Damages and issues
Please inspect your order upon reception and contact us immediately if the item is defective, damaged or if you receive the wrong item, so that we can evaluate the issue and make it right.
Exceptions / non-returnable items
Certain types of items cannot be returned, like custom products or special orders. Unfortunately, we cannot accept returns on sale items or gift cards.
Exchanges
The fastest way to ensure you get what you want is to return the item you have, and once the return is accepted, make a separate purchase for the new item.
Refunds
We will notify you once we’ve received and inspected your return, and let you know if the refund was approved or not. If approved, you’ll be automatically refunded on your original payment method. Please remember it can take some time for your bank or credit card company to process and post the refund too.
Free Delivery in the Republic Of Ireland on all orders over €30. Standard Delivery Charge in Republic of Ireland of €5 for all orders below €30.
Delivery is subject to warehouse availability. Out-of-stock items will be shipped as soon as possible, upon arrival from the manufacturer/publisher. Please take shipping time into consideration.
