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In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly funny book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.
- Publisher Name:Ebury Publishing
- Product Format:Paperback
- ISBN: XV80753522363
- Author:Gardner, Dan
- Publication Date:2011-05-05
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