{"product_id":"the-black-swan-the-impact-of-the-highly-improbable","title":"Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The Black Swan [2007] hardback","description":"Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9\/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the `impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.","brand":"Taleb, Nassim Nicholas","offers":[{"title":"Very Good","offer_id":47661416055123,"sku":"XV80713999952","price":12.99,"currency_code":"EUR","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0616\/4001\/6057\/files\/taleb-nassim-nicholas-nassim-nicholas-taleb-the-black-swan-2007-hardback-xv80713999952-54846210900307.jpg?v=1728238822","url":"https:\/\/chaptersbookstore.com\/products\/the-black-swan-the-impact-of-the-highly-improbable","provider":"Chapters Bookstore","version":"1.0","type":"link"}